Answer: We do not know.
A vaccine can be nice, nevertheless it will take at the very least a 12 months to a 12 months and a half.
At some level, herd immunity will come into play, however that will additionally take some time, since nonetheless the overwhelming majority of Americans do not have antibodies and subsequently are weak to Covid-19.
One of the neatest issues I ever heard anybody say about Covid-19 is that we do not know what we do not know.
Viruses shock us.
Who knew that Zika could possibly be transmitted sexually? Who knew that Ebola can linger in individuals’s eyes? We do not know if Covid-19 is seasonal, just like the flu. (And bear in mind — the flu would not disappear in hotter climate; the numbers simply drop dramatically.)
We do not know if Covid-19 will return within the fall. This is a brand new virus and it is educating us what it is and what it will do.
We do not know when this will finish. But this is what I hope: We are a greater, kinder and stronger group of individuals.
Hopefully there will be a vaccine and new therapies in a number of months — this will assist each deal with people who find themselves sick and stop individuals from getting sick.
There’s nonetheless quite a bit that we have to find out about this virus — why does it strike some individuals so severely and never others?
Transition methods and what comes subsequent
Dr. Mike Ryan, government director of the World Health Organization well being emergencies program, spoke Friday about getting from the disaster to the post-crisis.
Ryan talked about “transition strategies” and mentioned every nation wants a powerful public well being structure, a large funding in our capability to do surveillance, contact tracing, isolation and quarantine, and a strong data system so that folks know what to do and the place to go if they’re sick.
“And if we do that, we have a chance of transitioning back into a life, and economic and social life, that may, in some senses, not be the same again, maybe a more caring, engaged society with a better health care system, with better universal access to health care, with more social justice, and more care for each other, and that won’t be a bad society to go back to.”
“We don’t want to end up in a cycle of lockdown, followed by release, followed by another lockdown, followed by release. That’s not the way forward. And the way to avoid that is we need a transition strategy that gets us back into more control of the virus. We need to get ahead of the virus.”
Get prepared for some artistic options
Proof of immunity — There are different concepts gaining traction. In the UK, they’re contemplating the potential for “immunity passports” — individuals who have recovered from the illness would primarily get papers to return to work.
One main challenge right here: It’s unknown how lengthy immunity will final after an individual recovers from Covid-19.
And testing, as we all know, is imperfect. It won’t be doable to ensure immunity.
But actually there will quickly be a military of people that have recovered from Covid-19 and wish to return to a functioning society.
The pondering will change — It’s by no means been extra clear that well being specialists and the federal government are guessing about issues too.
While they’ve lengthy mentioned that solely individuals with signs must be examined, it is the nations that engaged in massive quantities of testing which have fared greatest.
The CDC used to say there was no proof that college closures would sluggish the unfold. But practically each American faculty child is dwelling now.
More everlasting lockdown — In China, there are color-coded telephones for the federal government to observe the place individuals go and, additionally, to implement quarantine on sure areas.
What about China — On the one hand, they seem to have turned the nook on the coronavirus.