“There’s some evidence that maybe Bullock’s performance with handling COVID-19 and generally good favorability in the state makes this a unique situation where traditional rules may not apply. Unlike other states with candidates newer to the statewide ballot, Bullock is already well-defined in voters’ minds, and it may be harder to change voters’ opinions of him.”
Do the maths and you’ve got 13 Republicans seats (out of the 23 they’re defending) in some stage of peril with 5 months earlier than the election.
And when you think about that Democrats have to web solely three seats (if Joe Biden wins) and 4 (if Donald Trump is re-elected), you see why Republicans are rightly and more and more involved about their probabilities of holding the chamber this fall.
The two most notable, politically talking, cope with President Donald Trump and his resistance to launch any and all monetary information.
How the courtroom decides the 2 instances might have main implications within the coming 2020 election. The President has by no means launched any of his tax returns, insisting he’s beneath audit and/or that they’re too advanced for any mere mortal to grasp.
If the courtroom guidelines in opposition to him — notably within the Mazars case — there’s a very excessive chance that voters will get no less than some glimpse of Trump’s monetary standing (how a lot he’s actually price, the place he owes cash, and so on.) earlier than the election.
If the courtroom, however, sides with Trump on the Mazars case and guidelines in opposition to him on Vance, then the monetary information shall be launched solely to a grand jury — and most of the people will virtually definitely see nothing of them earlier than voting this November.
Of course, due to Trump, sporting a masks has develop into political. He has refused to take action when round cameras — and at his Tulsa rally on Saturday night time, masks had been handed out however not required.
So, what now? The virus is not gone, irrespective of how a lot Trump needs it was. How does he — and governors, principally Republicans, within the states the place Covid is on the rise — deal with this resurgence? Ignoring it is not an choice.
The timeline of occasions is a testomony to how to not deal with a high-profile firing.
Berman launched his personal assertion round 11 p.m. Eastern making clear he was not, in actual fact, resigning. And he confirmed as much as work Saturday morning.
By Saturday afternoon, Barr had despatched Berman a letter firing him; “Because you have declared that you have no intention of resigning, I have asked the President to remove you as of today, and he has done so,” Barr wrote.
Asked in regards to the transfer shortly after, Trump stated this of Barr: “That’s his department, not my department. I’m not involved.”
Uh what? Talk in regards to the left hand not understanding what the proper hand is doing!
There’s no query that this debacle will — and will — draw the scrutiny of congressional investigators.
But on an much more primary “Politics 101” stage — how the hell does the US Attorney General announce that the top lawyer of the Southern District of New York is resigning if stated man hasn’t made a particular pledge to take action? And how the hell does the AG say the President informed him to fireplace Berman solely to have the President say he wasn’t concerned?
The message being despatched right here is that nobody is aware of what’s going on. Which is not an excellent message 5 months earlier than an election.
1. Does Trump have a plan B?: President Trump made no secret of the truth that he considered Saturday’s marketing campaign rally in Tulsa as a bounce begin to his fading political fortunes. He hyped it up on Twitter. His marketing campaign flew in elected officers and prime surrogates from across the nation.
And then, nicely, it flopped. Saturday was dominated by information that six Trump staffers on the bottom in Oklahoma had examined optimistic for Covid-19. The speech itself was lengthy and everywhere — and it was delivered to a less-than-full area.
So, what now? The rally clearly did not create the spark — in Trump or the marketing campaign — that they had been hoping for. In reality, it might have had the other impact, particularly when you think about that Trump’s line that he informed his “people” to decelerate testing for coronavirus as a result of they had been getting too many positives shall be fodder for Democratic adverts for the remainder of the marketing campaign.
The makes an attempt by the Trump marketing campaign to recommend that the rally was an enormous success (they despatched out a press launch afterwards touting how many individuals had watched it on-line) means that the President could be very sad with the way it went and attempting to alter historical past on it.
That’s a shedding proposition. The rally was a dud. Anyone who watched any a part of it might see that. The downside for Trump is he has no apparent reply to the “what now?” query. If rallies will not save him, what is going to?